Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 2.790841 3.293091 3.828778 4.439470 5.113210 5.830769 6.649706
2025-01-12 2.017530 2.692838 3.470235 4.417425 5.526594 6.771316 8.260613
2025-01-19 1.456425 2.201822 3.125972 4.322298 5.797017 7.524510 9.669711
2025-01-26 1.127110 1.917182 2.965159 4.394193 6.231315 8.457113 11.300319
2025-02-02 0.885781 1.693007 2.834879 4.466816 6.642499 9.354044 12.898571
2025-02-09 0.651703 1.423397 2.595004 4.353460 6.784865 9.899557 14.061304
2025-02-16 0.476347 1.200214 2.381785 4.241444 6.901746 10.395647 15.155740
2025-02-23 0.365770 1.057716 2.265142 4.246111 7.162544 11.072256 16.483236
2025-03-02 0.266469 0.905317 2.106190 4.165062 7.286749 11.558523 17.562821
2025-03-09 0.224023 0.858851 2.117452 4.341303 7.779842 12.548757 19.318969
2025-03-16 0.169025 0.763343 2.025723 4.341265 8.007481 13.173999 20.595162
2025-03-23 0.145849 0.740564 2.064693 4.553933 8.555628 14.252158 22.494897
2025-03-30 0.121695 0.707960 2.083531 4.738906 9.076987 15.317916 24.417361
2025-04-06 0.093856 0.650883 2.044672 4.820813 9.441539 16.169756 26.064560
2025-04-13 0.064149 0.567395 1.935683 4.768448 9.590431 16.712792 27.293636
2025-04-20 0.048583 0.526761 1.913534 4.868244 9.980383 17.608927 29.023170
2025-04-27 0.035925 0.487728 1.887808 4.956896 10.351473 18.480770 30.727372
2025-05-04 0.020680 0.413004 1.760206 4.840135 10.378576 18.841841 31.714513
2025-05-11 0.010702 0.347229 1.638916 4.721975 10.393380 19.179039 32.666997
2025-05-18 0.005959 0.308933 1.583003 4.728046 10.614286 19.826639 34.067785
2025-05-25 0.002385 0.261299 1.487009 4.641315 10.669343 20.219431 35.103711
2025-06-01 0.001598 0.255913 1.520844 4.831155 11.209710 21.363493 37.238976
2025-06-08 0.000535 0.226464 1.469185 4.831222 11.414415 21.991070 38.628901